| Surge In Truck Sales May Point
To Better Times
By Peter Passi - Duluth News Tribune
Trucking companies in the
Northland and nationwide have been beefing up their
fleets with new rigs, an encouraging sign for the U.S.
economy.
"It
looks like we're going to end up with a banner year
-- a great year -- for truck sales," said Richard
Stewart, director of the University of Wisconsin-Superior's
Transportation and Logistics Research Center.
While many
people use consumer spending to assess economic health,
Stewart said transportation spending often can serve
as a more useful predictor. He said the transportation
industry's role as a supplier of raw materials for manufacturing,
as well as a distributor of finished goods, place it
in a unique position.
"About
80 percent of everything that moves in this country
goes by truck," he said, and as the economy revs
up, trucking companies have had no choice but to respond.
"Most of the nation's trucking companies are operating
at or near capacity, and they need more vehicles."
Truck sales
at Allstate Peterbilt of Superior/Duluth have doubled
between 2003 and 2004, said general manager Steve Khalar,
although a new facility produced some of that growth.
Even if the pace slows in 2005, he believes stronger
truck sales reflect economic rebound.
"Transportation
is one of the key areas you need to look at to judge
where the economy is going," Khalar said.
The strong demand for trucks in 2004 stands in sharp
contrast to the early part of 2000.
"When
we were in an economic downturn, many trucking companies
didn't dare to invest in new assets," Stewart said.
Brandon Niesen, sales manager for Boyer Trucks of Superior,
confirmed that many companies delay plans to replace
trucks during uncertain times and consequently entered
2004 with older-than-usual fleets. He believes the postponed
upgrades helped set the stage for robust sales this
year.
Niesen said
Boyer Trucks' 2004 order book is stronger than it has
been in years, and he's optimistic the industry has
turned a corner.
"I
think our orders show the economy is getting better,"
Niesen said. "Products need to move."
Boyer Trucks
is so bullish on the prospects for its Superior dealership
that the company is preparing to pour $3.5 million into
a new facility at the foot of the Bong Bridge. Boyer
carries Freightliner, Sterling and Western Star trucks.
"Record
freight volume, fleet expansion and improved carrier
profitability are driving new truck orders," said
Tom Plimpton, president of Paccar Inc., manufacturer
of the Peterbilt and Kenworth truck lines, in a recent
state of the industry report.
"Demand
for freight is up," Khalar said. "From what
I've heard, people in the trucking industry are not
having trouble getting work. They're having more trouble
finding people to put behind the wheel."
Paccar's
truck dealers in the United States and Canada expect
to sell about 35 percent more trucks than they did in
2003.
Plimpton
predicts more of the same in the coming year. He estimated
his company's 2005 heavy truck sales will reach 270,000
to 280,000. That would equate to a 15 to 24 percent
increase compared with anticipated 2004 figures.
Paccar's truck-manufacturing operations are second in
size only to those of DaimlerChrysler, maker of the
Freightliner and Sterling truck lines. For the first
11 months of 2004, DaimlerChrysler reported even more
impressive results than Paccar. It sold more than 643,000
trucks and buses -- 44 percent more than it did during
the same period last year.
Stewart
said truck sales have been fueled not only by growing
demand for freight but by relatively low interest rates.
New emissions
standards scheduled to take effect in 2007 could provide
yet another continued incentive for trucking companies
to upgrade to newer trucks in the coming year, Stewart
said.
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